The All-In Audit

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Prediction · AIA-20261030-12

Chamath PalihapitiyaPendingAuto-rated · awaiting review30 Oct 2026 at 26:22MarketsDue 30 Jun 2027
“And I think in order to do that, the price is probably now going to come in between 1.3 on the low end to 1.7 on the high end.”

Claim: Anthropic's IPO will price at a valuation of about $1.3-1.7tn, around $1.5tn.

Evidence. Reported talk for the offering is a $1.5-2tn valuation; no price range had been filed at recording time.

Rule (auto): Accurate if Anthropic's IPO prices at an implied market capitalization (offer price x shares outstanding after the offering, as reported in the final prospectus or by Reuters/Bloomberg) of $1.3tn to $1.7tn; False if below $1.3tn or above $1.7tn. Void if no IPO prices by 30 Jun 2027. Conflicts with his earlier call AIA-20260926-14 ('around $1tn or less'); each is scored on its own rule (Methodology rule 8). He revised his view on air because the S-1 showed more cash than he had assumed.

Verdicts follow the published methodology. Think this one is wrong? Request a correction.

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